Robust increase of Indian monsoon rainfall and its variability under future warming in CMIP6 models

14 April 2021

All state-of-the-art global climate models that contributed to the latest Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6) show a robust increase in Indian summer monsoon rainfall that is even stronger than in the previous intercomparison (CMIP5). Furthermore, they show an increase in the year-to-year variability of this seasonal rainfall that crucially influences the livelihood of more than 1 billion people in India.


The press release by the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK) can be found at: https://www.pik-potsdam.de/en/news/latest-news/climate-change-is-making-indian-monsoon-seasons-more-chaotic

Robust increase of Indian monsoon rainfall and its variability under future warming in CMIP6 models
Anja Katzenberger, Jacob Schewe, Julia Pongratz, and Anders Levermann
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 367–386, doi:10.5194/esd-12-367-2021, 2021

Contact: Anders Levermann (anders.levermann@pik-potsdam.de)