New ESD Letter: Absence of causality between seismic activity and global warming

6 August 2024

It was recently suggested that global warming can be explained by the non-anthropogenic factor of seismic activity. If that is the case, it would have profound implications. The authors have assessed the validity of the claim by using a statistical technique that evaluates the existence of causal connections between variables, finding no evidence for any causal relationship between seismic activity and global warming.

Chief editor's statement: The authors apply the statistical method of conditional dispersion, which evaluates the existence of causal connections between variables, to study relations between seismic activity and global warming. This is a very actual and debated topic in the geosciences community. In this work, the authors find no causality between seismic activity and global warming.

Contact: Mikhail Y. Verbitsky (verbitskys@gmail.com)